An example of data being processed may be a unique identifier stored in a cookie. Cartograms developed by Gastner, Shalizi, and Newman at the University of Michigan provide another way to depict election results,[28] which change from a red-blue paradigm to one of shades of purple.[29]. Many argue that assigning partisanship to states is only really useful as it pertains to the Electoral College, as well as (more recently) the Senate, primarily a winner-take-all system of elections (with the exceptions of Nebraska and Maine). [18], Thus, red and blue became fixed in the media and in many people's minds, despite the fact that the Democratic and Republican parties had not officially chosen colors. Texas was the biggest winner the second-most populous state added two congressional seats, while Florida and North Carolina gained one. Pennsylvania voted democratic in the 2020 election. After the 2004 election, Vanderbei and then others made similar maps summarizing the results. With all eyes on Georgia and the upcoming Senate runoffs slated for Jan. 5, 2021, Emory College Dean Michael A. Elliott hosted a panel discussion Dec. 2 examining Georgia's new swing-state status and future role in American politics from business, marketing . The 2004 election showed two of these three states to be true to the presidential preferences of their respective regions, creating a greater regional separation; thus, an argument that the country was more divided from the 2000 election. Pennsylvania has a long history of being consequential in presidential elections choosing 20 of the last 25 . Blue States No. Holly Ready to hear what you have to say on Pennsylvania! How red or blue is your state? By breaking the map down into smaller units (including many blue counties lying next to red counties), these maps tend to display many states with a purplish hue, thus demonstrating that an ostensibly blue or red state may, in fact, be closely divided. Live results and analysis from the Jan. 5 Senaterunoffs, White House Correspondent & Associate Editor. Pennsylvania, where the U.S. Constitution was written, was the second state admitted to the Union, officially becoming a state in December 1787. Red States 1 Arizona 1 Alabama 2 California 2 In 1980, when John Anderson had a relatively well publicized campaign as an independent candidate, at least one network indicated provisionally that they would use yellow if he were to win a state. These maps give extra visual weight to larger areal units, whether by county or state. Biden rebuilt the "blue wall" and expanded the map Rust Belt states have been the base of Democrats' electoral map for a generation, but along with winning them back, Biden also expanded the. To do so, he improved upon Clinton's margins in a range of both. According to the NYT, more than 98% of estimated votes there have been reported. I think most of these states that we have either red or blue are going to be up for grabs. Turn on desktop notifications for breaking stories about interest? In 2008, college graduates were divided equally; those with postgraduate degrees voted for Obama by an 18% margin. Pennsylvania is considered to be a perennial swing state, including in the 2020 presidential election. In Nebraska, two of the five electoral votes go to the winner of the winner of the statewide popular vote and one electoral vote is awarded to the winner in each of the state's three congressional districts. These editorials note the increasingly polarized political strife in the U.S. between Republican voters and Democratic voters. So how does all that look visually? polls closed in Ala., Conn., Del., D.C., Fla., Ill., Maine, Md., Mass., Miss., Mo., N.H., N.J., Okla., Pa., R.I., Tenn. polls closed in Ga., Ind., Ky., S.C., Vt., Va. Presidential results by pre-election forecasted chances, Georgia Senate elections live updates: Jon Ossoff projected to win Ga. Senate seat, ABC News projects Ossoff victory over Perdue, Raffensperger escorted out of state Capitol building, says deputy secretary of state, Here are Georgia's election certification deadlines, Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. What I want to know is the number out of Philly -- what margin is Joe Biden taking out of the state's largest city? [40] At the same time, the 2020 U.S. presidential election marked the ninth consecutive presidential election where the victorious major party nominee did not win a popular vote majority by a double-digit margin over the losing major party nominee(s), continuing the longest sequence of such presidential elections in U.S. history that began in 1988 and in 2016 eclipsed the previous longest sequences from 1836 through 1860 and from 1876 through 1900. I'm totally zeroed in on Pennsylvania tonight. For example, the major center-right conservative parties in the United Kingdom, Canada, Australia, New Zealand, Brazil, Italy, Spain and France all use blue or its shades (whether officially or unofficially) whereas the major socialist, communist, or social democratic parties in each country are associated with red. But registration figures vary greatly by county. A large county or state in area may have fewer voters than a small one in area, for example. Below, we've broken out how 16 battleground states voted since 2000 and what the ever-changing Electoral College map could mean going forward. The. Update on Election Day in Philadelphia from the DA's office here: "As of 9:00 p.m. on Tuesday, 68 incidents were reported to the Election Task Force and 67 incidents were peacefully resolved. The 21st-century association of colors in American politics is contrary to the long-standing conventions of political color in most other countries whereby red symbols (such as the red flag or red star) are associated with leftist politics. Twenty red states are expected to go for President Donald Trump, and 23 blue states (including DC) are expected to go for former Vice President Joe Biden. A measuring device or measuring instrument is a device to measure a physical quantity or degree of something in our lives every day. All three of those states were very close in both elections. Support local journalism. Use arrow keys to move around the map. The presidential primary contests are usually decided before Pennsylvania holds its primary, which is on Tuesday, April 26, this year. We may be entering the brief "blue mirage" portion of the night, where Biden deceptively looks like he's doing well because counties first report the mail ballots they've been counting all day, and Biden supporters disproportionately voted by mail. During the Bush administration, the red-blue map was criticized by some[31] for exaggerating the perceived support for President Bush. *Counties are colored red or blue when the % expected vote reporting reaches a set threshold. Geographic borders associated with district numbers may have changed. The look of a map can vary significantly depending on the classification choices. In Maine, two of the four electoral votes are awarded to the winner of the statewide popular vote and one electoral vote is awarded to the winner in each of the state's two congressional districts. "[27] Arguably, this eventually proved to be somewhat true, but not in McCain's favor as Obama won three "red" states that had not voted Democratic in many years, namely Virginia, North Carolina, and Indiana along with a part of deep red Nebraska, via the state's (much less conservative as a whole) second congressional district. We are one people, all of us pledging allegiance to the Stars and Stripes, all of us defending the United States of America."[26]. This threshold varies by state and is based on patterns of past vote reporting and expectations about how the vote will report this year. (PA, GA, MI)". Error! McCain held the more suburban and rural areas of both the red and blue states, while Obama received the large majority of the urban city areas in all the states. Thirty of Penn's 44 counties gave Trump 60% of the vote. Clinton:36,322 (35.80%). Massachusetts is a blue state with a red governor making red states look worse on mortality. Not one! That march then met Hillary Clinton's 'blue wall' states which, at one time, included Pennsylvania. A 2021 poll found that 52% of Trump voters and 41% of Biden voters support partitioning the United States into multiple countries based on political party lines. With 100% of precincts reporting, Trump won the state with . All states contain considerable amounts of both liberal and conservative voters (i.e., they are "purple") and only appear blue or red on the electoral map because of the winner-take-all system used by most states in the Electoral College. Most issues involving misunderstandings or miscommunication about voting rules and laws were resolved by Election Task Force prosecutors by phone, and DAO prosecutors and detectives also responded to investigate incidents at polling sites in all six Philadelphia Police divisions. Here are the 10 states with the largest Democratic advantage: Wyoming - R+26 West Virginia - R+23 North Dakota - R+20 Oklahoma - R+20 [24] Large areas of color appear more saturated than small areas of the same color. In the 2000 election, Bush received a smaller share of the popular vote than Al Gore, and four years later defeated John Kerry by this count by less than two and a half percentage points. The Midwest has five states in the East North Central part of the region and seven in the West North Central. All states contain considerable amounts of both liberal and conservative voters (i.e., they are "purple") and only appear blue or red on the electoral map because of the winner-take-all system used by most states in the Electoral College. Sorry Marc. DeSantis: Standing Up to Corporate Activism. This is still a substantial difference from the period 1960 to 1980 when every state, save for Arizona, voted for each party at least once. With proper treatments well known including proper dosages (vs. WHO stating in 1979 the potentially lethal dose of HCQ was 1500-2000 mg then attempted a study at 2400 mg in one day, that was designed to both fail and kill.) And Biden did cut his losses comparedto Clinton. Pennsylvania Joe Biden's projected win in his native state of Pennsylvania put him past the 270 total electoral votes needed to win the presidency. To view the purposes they believe they have legitimate interest for, or to object to this data processing use the vendor list link below. Survive and Thrive March 2023: How Long Have You Been in the Investment Business? This may have been a holdover from the Civil War, during which the predominantly Republican north was considered "blue". That election saw Donald Trump win the state by 0.7%, one of three 'blue wall' states (Michigan & Wisconsin the others) he won on his way to winning the presidential election. Updates about tonight's races in Pennsylvania. Mitchell Thorson, Kevin Crowe, Dian Zhang, and Dan Keemahill contributed to this report. Virginia has continued voting for the Democratic presidential nominees (as well as increasingly electing Democrats at the state level), leading to its being reclassified as a blue state in recent years. Several incidents will require follow-up byinvestigators. The Democratic or Republican party of a particular state may have policies that departsometimes greatlyfrom those of the national party, sometimes causing that state to favor one party in state and local elections and the other in presidential elections. I feel like my job this entire night might be explaining why #nothingmatters inPA. This threshold varies by state and is based on patterns of past vote reporting and expectations about how the vote will report this year. Prior to Election Day, the U.S. Supreme Court rejected a request by Pennsylvania Republicans to block a state court order that allows mail ballots arriving up to three days after Nov. 3 to be counted. Pennsylvania has an middling number of people with four-year college degrees. In recent elections, there have been a dozen or more truly competitive battlegrounds which could result in many various paths to 270 electoral votes. I just got off the phone with the City Commissioners office in Philadelphia, and they told me that all the machines that process mail ballots are up and running and that things are going smoothly. Traditionally, the practice of designating a U.S. state as red or blue is based on the first-past-the-post winner-take-all system employed for presidential elections by 48 of the 50 U.S. states and the District of Columbia. China Hopes Recovery Dims Memories of Zero COVID Debacle, Industry Races to Diversify Away from China. Seven months into the coronavirus crisis, the states with the most severe unemployment in the country all seem to have one thing in common: They vote blue. Biden's projected win in the state was fueled by significant gains in already-blue counties, including Atlanta (Fulton County) and its suburbs. polls closed in Calif., Idaho, Ore., Wash. polls closed in Ariz., Colo., Kan., La., Mich., Minn., Neb., N.M., N.Y., N.D., S.D., Texas, Wis., Wyo. Well, Arizona is still counting and theres enough coming in to turn the state. Not a single Penn county gave Clinton over 60% of the vote. The vast majority of reported incidents involved concerns about unlawful electioneering or interference at polling sites. But What about Investing in Bonds? Regarding national politics, it is historically a "Red" state although in recent national elections it has gone"blue". Continue with Recommended Cookies. The Bay State added more than 480,000 people last decade for a total population of 7,029,917 in 2020. Later, in the 1888 presidential election, Grover Cleveland and Benjamin Harrison used maps that coded blue for the Republicans, the color perceived to represent the Union and "Lincoln's Party", and red for the Democrats. I think it's the state to watch. [1] Examining patterns within states reveals that the reversal of the two parties' geographic bases has happened at the state level, but it is more complicated locally, with urban-rural divides associated with many of the largest changes.[2]. Sacrificing the Future to China for Bidens Green New Deal. Minnesota, New York, and Maryland, all of which Obama won state-wide, show this example with some exceptions. Save my name, email, and website in this browser for the next time I comment. Dane County is home to Madison, the second-largest city in Wisconsin. The four "mega-states" have established rival and increasingly polarized visions of state government-one blue, the other red. A lengthy post-Election court battle is the scenario Biden's camp has so fiercely tried to avoid by expanding their map to 17states. How much does fracking register as an issue across the state in southeastern PA, in Philly and itssuburbs? Thus Trump ended with all 20 of Pennsylvanias electoral votes. As of February 2023, California had the most mass shootings in the United States, with 25 total shootings since 1982. The Hill . Some maps use more classes, such as shades of red and blue to indicate the degree of election victory. Further highlighting this polarization: While relatively competitive overall, only four states (FL, NC, OH, VA) were decided by less than 5% popular vote margin in the 2012 presidential election. Trump's New Math: Inside the Plan to Flip Blue States in 2020. [1] NBC newsman David Brinkley famously referred to the 1980 election map outcome showing Republican Ronald Reagan's 44-state landslide in blue as resembling a "suburban swimming pool".[14]. Gray indicates available electoral votes that were either not cast or cast for a candidate not on the ballot. In fact, he said, some states may experience a "red shift," and even Pennsylvania's blue shift may change in the future as different voters adapt to the new absentee ballot system and counties that used to process them on election night stop doing so. Charlie and PA, MI, OH & IL are on track to lose aseat! Nebraska's 2nd district flipped back into the Republican column in 2012 and 2016, but supported Democrat Joe Biden in 2020. The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee alluded to the color scheme when it launched a national Red to Blue Program in 2006. Cartographers have traditionally limited the number of classes so that it is always obvious which class a color shade represents. ", https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Red_states_and_blue_states&oldid=1142683256, This page was last edited on 3 March 2023, at 20:42. As a group, adults younger than age 40 voted for Obama. Biden's margin of victory was under 1% in Arizona, Georgia, and Wisconsin, and it was under 1.2% in Pennsylvania. [45][46] Red states and blue states are states that typically vote for the Republican and Democratic parties, respectively. Throughout much of this campaign cycle, Pennsylvania has been considered a hotly contested toss-up, and it has been the focus of several mail voting-related lawsuits. Pennsylvania's median household income falls in the middle of the pack. In 2020, Joe Biden won Georgia and Arizona, states that had last voted Democratic in 1992 and 1996, respectively. *Maine and Nebraska allow electoral votes to be split. Experts weigh in on swing-state status. [21][22] Another problem relates to data classification. During the 2016 presidential election, two districts (the first and second) gave Clinton over 80% and 90% of the vote. Biden:43,949 (37.89%), 2016: [3][4] However, the perception of some states as "blue" and some as "red" was reinforced by a degree of partisan stability from election to election from the 2000 election to the 2004 election, only three states changed "color"; and as of 2020, 35 out of 50 states have voted for the same party in every presidential election since the red-blue terminology was popularized in 2000, with only 15 having swung between the 2000 and 2020 election. Three other regions were red before 2016 and got redder: the West, conservative Central Pennsylvania and the Dutch Country around Harrisburg and Lancaster. [23], Finally, there are problems associated with human perception. Both campaigns have armies of attorneys at the ready for PA and other states. 2023 Electoral Ventures LLC. More than a . The state's 20 electoral votes could be pivotal in the 2020 race. by The Hill staff - 10/24/14 6:00 AM ET. So first, I'm looking to see what exactly we learn tonight and how quickly local governments across the state are able to process mail ballots. Cash, Money, Green: How Will You Feel in Retirement? 44% of Americans in the South favored secession, with Republican support at 66%; while Democratic support was 47% in the Pacific states.[50][51][52]. Tennessee. Some precincts reported mechanical problems or ran out of supplies. The consent submitted will only be used for data processing originating from this website. Report that just went out from the Pennsylvania Election Protection Coalition on issues today in the state: "Among the issues: Several polling places opened late. 30,000+ mail ballots a teeny tiny fraction of the 2.5 million received as of this morning in the state were just reported in Pennsylvania. Popular vote data are necessarily aggregated at several levels, such as counties and states, which are then colored to show election results. But the distinction between the two groups of states is less simplistic. Generally, the same held true for married versus single women, but a greater percentage of women overall voted for Obama than for McCain. More than 75% of the land area is red, when looking at the map based on land areas, while shifting to the population view only about 46% of the map is red. Here's why Pennsylvania is a Red State to the core. In April 2008, Republican presidential nominee John McCain predicted that the presidential election that November would not follow the red-state-blue-state pattern, saying, "I'm not sure that the old red state, blue state scenario that prevailed for the last several elections works. In 2008, Obama won in Iowa and New Hampshire by more than nine percentage points, and New Mexico by double digits. Holly If Biden loses Fla, North Carolina and Georgia, his so-called greater Midwest certainly includes winning Pennsylvania. Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. He won 56 percent to Trump's 43. But also, the early voter turnout we're seeing has been - seems to have been a factor. The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee also alluded the color scheme when it launched a national "Red to Blue Program" in 2006.
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